Eibar 1-1 Málaga


Kick-off: 21:00 CET
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Sport: Football
Country: Spain
Market: 1X2
Bet: Eibar
Stake: 3/10 units
Odds: 1.72 (US -139 UK 
-3 units

Eibar lost their last home, 0-1 to Atletico, but won their previous four at home and should bounce back against the worst team in the league. 1.72 seems like a low price for a small team like Eibar to win, but rock-bottom Málaga have lost 13 of 14 away games this season. They've lost their last five games, and have chosen to replace the manager. This will be his first game in charge, and and I doubt that we'll see much of an effect. The team has many injuries, especially in the attacking part with Castro and Peñaranda unlikely to play, among many others. Málaga have only scored 4 goals away from home this season, so in their current state I'm not concerning with Eibar allowing 31 goals in 19 games this season. These goals, against a defensively respectable Eibar-team, where mainly scored by Barcelona (6-0), Real Madrid (3-0), Villarreal (3-0) and Celta (4-0). Eibar lose those games yes, but their results haven't really disappointed even once this season. When you expect them to win, they get the job done. Arbilla returns from suspension in the central defence.

I give this bet 3 units, but I will also place 1 unit with 'Eibar win to nil'. See the tip here.