Tournament: Premier League
Market: Asian handicap
Bet: Bournemouth -0.25
Odds: 1.904 (US -110, UK 9/10)
Bookmaker: Click to see
The form of Bournemouth and Southampton are in sharp contrast, when these local rivals clash today. Eddie Howe's troops are enjoying another great season, with a 6th place and 16 points. Again this season, the home run has been good for Bournemouth, who has 3 wins and a draw in their 4 home matches. Bournemouth comes with great confidence after crushing Watford 4-0 before the international break.
In contrast, Southampton has won only a single match this season. Southampton is weak away from home, and their poor form is not surprising. They have a physically good squad, but rarely manage to create matches on their own terms and not particularly strong on the ball. The Saints have not managed to defend well, and I think the team will be challenged a lot when they come under Bournemouth's pressure at this intimate stadium. Bournemoth have not defeated Southampton in the last 4 meetings, but I see great chances for a home victory here. Bournemouth has been excellent offensively, and has scored more goals than Tottenham, United and Liverpool.
The home team have Ryan Fraser on the questionable list after he was injured on international duties for Scotland. However, he is expected to get ready, as Charlie Daniels also seems to be ready in time to give Eddie Howe a squad without injuries. The same goes for Marc Hughes at Southampton.
I prefer the -0.25 asian handicap, where only 50% of the stake is lost in case of a draw result. The difference between the two odds (1.9 vs 2.15) is very small considering the insurance we get in this derby.