Kick-off: 19:30 CET
Tournament: 1. Division
Stake: 5/10 units
Total odds: 1.97 (US: -103, UK: 97/100)
Bookmaker: Click to see
On a day dominated by Champions League matches, I look to the Danish 1st division where HB Køge host Fremad Amager. HB Køge have gone a bit below the radar, but have nevertheless earned impressive 18 points in 8 matches and can take over first place with a victory here in the 9th round against Fremad Amager. HB Køge have especially impressed with their offensive style, and is also the team that has scored the most goals with 18 goals in 8 matches. Køge has played 4 home matches this season and it has turned out perfectly:
4-3 win against Hvidovre
1-0 win against Nykøbing
1-0 win against Viborg
5-2 win against Roskilde
HB Køge won 1-3 at Thisted last week, in a tough away game, and it seems that coach Morten Karlsen has found a recipe that works really well.
It's a different situation at Fremad Amager. After eight matches they have 9 points. A 9th place is what Fremad Amager is at now, but with the same number of points as 10th and 11th place. Fremad Amager have lost their last two games 1-3 and 2-5, despite home advantage. It will not be less of a challenge today and 1.97 is a big price for a bet that has almost 60% chance of winning in my opinion.