Real Madrid 2-2 (2-4) Atletico Madrid


 +1.4 units 

Kick-off: 21:00 CET
Sport: Football
Tournament: UEFA Super Cup
Market: Asian handicap
Bet: Atletico Madrid +0.25
Stake: 3/10 units
Odds: 1.93 (US: -107, UK: 19/20)
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Real Madrid have the chance to win this tournament for a third consecutive time, but I feel their European domination has come to an end (for now) with Ronaldo moving to Turin. While Real have seriously lost quality this summer, Atletico Madrid have improved and now look so strong that they must be considered among the favorites for all the tournaments they play.  I can't make Real Madrid big favorites in this game, and thereby find good value in this asian +0.25 line, where we even win at odds 1.465 if the match ends with a draw result, which the last two Madrid derbies did. Real Madrid have only won 1 of the last 5 against Atletico Madrid, and the gap between these two city rivals has never been smaller .. if there even is a gap.