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Horsens 1-1 Randers

07/22/2018
Asger


 -2.5 units 


First game starts: 12:00 CET
Sport: Football
Country: Denmark
Tournament: Superligaen
Market: Asian handicap
Bet: Horsens -0.25
Stake: 5/10 units
Odds: 2.06 (US: +106, UK: 53/50)
Bookmaker: 
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Horsens started the season perfectly, by winning their toughest game of the season (on paper), away to mighty FC Copenhagen. It was a wonderful 1-2 victory that will boost the confidence of a very hard working team. They've lost their topscorer Finnbogason, and goalkeeper Horonin, who both played a big role for Iceland in the World Cup 2018. However, they've brough in some good replacements, and this Horsens team don't need top performing individuals to get the results. They rely on team spirit and clever agreements, so it's no surprise to me if they will move into the Top 6 this season. When beating FCK in Copenhagen, any game can be won by this team. Randers did okay against Brondby, but still lost at home without scoring, and shouldn't have much more of a chance at Horsens. It's one of the worst teams in the league on paper, and I have little confidence in their new manager.

I'm taking the -0.25 handicap, where 50% of my stake is returned in case of a draw result. I don't expect that however, and could just as well be recommending the normal home win at 2.44.